Trading On margin

The first-round rally wasn’t good, but…

October 3, 2021; Chicago, IL, USA; Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) passes in the second half against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports

So this first round trade was not very good. I understand that Minnesota executives know a lot more about football than I do, but it’s always fair to question the value they received for 12th and 46th.

When I originally saw that they had traded from 12th I figured it was just #12 in exchange for #32, #34 and #66. remember thinking it was a shame they didn’t get a future first, though it was still decent value.

Having to throw the 46th pick — not an insignificant draft slot — into the mix is ​​what makes this a bad deal.

Some insist Minnesota hasn’t fared very well based on what the charts say. My concern, however, has little to do with trading charts.

Last season, the Chicago Bears made a move with the Giants to go 11th so Justin Fields could be the new QB. It cost the Bears their 20th pick and 164th pick in 2021 alongside the 7th and 103rd picks in 2022. Clearly, this was an overpayment from Chicago, and teams are often willing to give up more when it comes to it’s about snagging a QB. Still, it’s hard to look at the example of last year where the Giants fell 9 places and gained many more.

Heck, last year the Vikings went from 14th to 23rd, a much smaller margin than from 12th to 32nd. Minnesota needed to send 143 players for it to work, but they selected the 66th and 83rd picks.

There are many other examples of past deals that look better than this year’s.

The thing is, the Vikings found themselves in a position where it was either a matter of picking someone at 12 or taking a less than stellar trade. With two options that apparently weren’t very attractive, Kwesi Adofo-Mensah opted to trade.

Of course, we really need to take a wait-and-see approach. Minnesota’s front office doesn’t deserve condemnation or anything like that. Still, it’s fair to be very skeptical considering they traded 20 places in the first round for a better 2nd and then a 3rd.

In the end, the only thing that matters is winning. The Vikings used that 34th spot to snatch 53rd and 59th from the Packers, forcing Green Bay to sell both seconds for a chance at a receiver for Aaron Rodgers. I know there are concerns about the trade to (another) division rival, but it was a good deal for Minnesota. With the extra ammo, they could catch Andrew Booth Jr. and still have pretty decent draft capital later on.

Ultimately, if all the reworks lead to more wins, then our first concerns won’t be very important.